The Library
25 letters
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2025 Memo
The Best of . . .
A retrospective compilation of Marks' most enduring principles. He reinforces the importance of cycle awareness, risk control, and the necessity of a contrarian mindset for achieving superior long-term returns.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2024 Memo
Mr. Market Miscalculates
Examines how market participants often overreact to news, leading to mispricings that disciplined, contrarian investors can exploit by focusing on intrinsic value.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2023 Memo
Taking the Temperature
Discusses the importance of gauging market sentiment and cycle positioning to determine whether to lean into aggressiveness or defensiveness.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2022 Memo
I Beg to Differ
Marks explores the necessity of second-level thinking and contrarianism. He argues that to achieve superior performance, an investor must be willing to look wrong for a period while holding a non-consensus view.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2020 Memo
Calibrating
Discusses the need to balance aggressiveness and defensiveness as market prices drop, suggesting that the time to start buying is when fear is at its peak.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2020 Memo
Uncertainty
Marks argues that investors must acknowledge their lack of knowledge about the pandemic's trajectory and focus on defensive positioning rather than aggressive forecasting.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2019 Memo
On the Other Hand
Marks advocates for 'two-handed' thinking, presenting both the bullish and bearish cases for the economy to illustrate the importance of intellectual humility and the dangers of one-sided conviction.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2015 Memo
It's not Easy
Marks discusses second-level thinking, explaining that superior investment results require a more complex and contrarian thought process than the average market participant.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2014 Memo
Dare to Be Great II
A follow-up to his 2006 memo, Marks argues that achieving superior performance requires the courage to be different and the willingness to look wrong.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2014 Memo
Dare to Be Great II
Marks explains why conventional thinking can never produce unconventional results, and why the path to great investing requires not just being different but being different and right—a combination that demands both insight and the courage to act on it.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2012 Memo
It's All A Big Mistake
Critiques the tendency of investors to overreact to short-term news and the fallacy of believing markets are always efficient.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2010 Memo
Warning Flags
Marks lists indicators of a maturing bull market, such as high valuations and aggressive capital issuance, advising investors to increase caution when others are becoming increasingly bold.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2010 Memo
Tell Me I'm Wrong
Marks examines the prevailing bullish sentiment and challenges the consensus view that the economy is on a sustainable path, emphasizing the importance of skepticism and contrarian thinking in market analysis.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2010 Memo
Hemlines
Using the hemline theory as a metaphor, Marks discusses how investment styles go in and out of fashion, urging investors to focus on fundamentals rather than temporary market trends.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2008 Memo
Doesn't Make Sense
This memo contends that market panics lead to irrational pricing, allowing disciplined value investors to acquire assets at significant discounts to their intrinsic value.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2008 Memo
The Limits to Negativism
Written during the depths of the 2008 crisis, Marks argues that when everyone is convinced the world is ending, the potential for profit is at its highest because prices reflect total despair.
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway 2008 Op-Ed
Buy American. I Am.
In the depths of the 2008 financial crisis, Buffett published a landmark op-ed declaring he was moving his personal portfolio entirely into American stocks. His core argument: be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2007 Memo
Now It's All Bad?
Highlights the investment opportunities created when market sentiment swings violently from irrational exuberance to indiscriminate fear and forced selling of quality assets.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2007 Memo
Everyone Knows
Marks argues that consensus views are already reflected in asset prices, meaning superior returns can only be achieved by diverging from the crowd and being right.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2006 Memo
Dare to Be Great
Achieving greatness requires non-consensus behavior and the courage to be lonely, as benchmark-hugging ensures only average results at best.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2003 Memo
The Feeling's Mutual
Marks critiques the mutual fund industry for its focus on relative performance and closet indexing. He argues that true value is added through idiosyncratic risk-taking and a willingness to be different from the crowd.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2002 Memo
Returns and How They Get That Way
An exploration of the mechanics of investment performance, arguing that superior returns are generated by buying assets at prices significantly below their intrinsic value.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2000 Memo
Investment Miscellany
A collection of observations on market efficiency and the role of luck, emphasizing the necessity of a contrarian mindset during periods of extreme market sentiment.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 1994 Memo
Random Thoughts on the Identification of Investment Opportunities
Marks outlines his philosophy for finding bargains by looking where others aren't. He emphasizes the need for a contrarian mindset and the discipline to wait for the right price.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 1994 Memo
How Does an Inefficient Market Get That Way?
Marks explores the psychological and structural reasons why markets become inefficient. He argues that human emotion and lack of information create opportunities for contrarian investors to find mispriced assets.